How Portugal's Resilient Economy Can Withstand Trump's Potential EU Tariffs

Portugal faces potential US tariffs, challenging key industries. However, its diversified economy, strategic location, and investment-friendly policies position it to adapt and thrive.

As US President Donald Trump's government could introduce 10% to 25% tariffs on its EU imports, Portugal's economic relationship with the US is under renewed scrutiny.

Such tariffs could increase costs and reduce demand for Portuguese exports, particularly for industries that rely on strong American demand, such as wine, cork, footwear, pharmaceuticals, machinery, and others.

While these concerns over trade disruption are valid, industry experts believe Portugal's key sectors are resilient and well-positioned to weather the storm, with Portugal's diversification strategy and key sectors strong enough to adapt to these potential tariffs.

"Portugal's key sectors, such as technology, renewable energy, media, international events, luxury tourism and pharmaceuticals, are well-positioned to manage this impact," says a spokesperson for the Portugal Future Fund.

"Many of these industries are focused on high-value products with strong demand, meaning they can absorb additional costs or shift focus to other global markets."

"In fact, at the end of last year, Portugal had a trade surplus and was buying more goods than it was exporting to the US, which, similar to the UK, would be positive for the US administration."

It's also been highlighted that tariffs could create unexpected opportunities for Portugal.

"A short-term hit in exports could actually lead to longer-term benefits. We're already seeing businesses diversifying beyond traditional markets and investing in innovation. The future is bright for Portugal, and this could accelerate strategic shifts that make the country's economy even stronger."

Additionally, Portugal's focus on foreign investment, particularly through its Golden Visa residency-by-investment program and expanding private equity sector, may benefit from shifting trade alliances.

The Golden Visa residency-by-investment program offers dual residency in Portugal and EU Schengen freedom of movement for a €500,000 investment in regulated Portuguese funds.

While property investments are no longer eligible for the Golden Visa program, funds are still channelled into dynamic sectors like renewables, healthcare, technology, tourism, and hospitality.

"Portugal is a gateway to Europe, and international investors are still viewing it as a safe and strategic location," says Paul Stannard, founder and chairman of Portugal Pathways and Portugal Investment Owners Club, "the fundamentals remain strong, and we see long-term growth across multiple sectors."

"While Trump tariff threats pose a risk, Portugal's economy is diversified, resilient, and attractive to investors. With key sectors adapting to global changes, the country is well-placed to manage potential disruptions."

"Rather than seeing tariffs as purely negative, we should focus on where Portugal can innovate and expand,” says Stannard. “The past few years have shown that Portugal is dynamic, and I believe we will see new opportunities arise from this situation."

"With strategic foresight and adaptability, Portugal's economic future remains bright, even in the face of shifting global trade dynamics."